{"id":16987,"date":"2026-05-26T10:36:48","date_gmt":"2026-05-26T02:36:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/learncmg.cn\/?p=16987"},"modified":"2026-05-26T10:38:09","modified_gmt":"2026-05-26T02:38:09","slug":"%e5%ba%94%e7%94%a8%e6%a1%88%e4%be%8b%ef%bc%88127%ef%bc%89%ef%bc%9a%e5%88%a9%e7%94%a8%e6%95%b0%e6%8d%ae%e9%a9%b1%e5%8a%a8%e4%bb%a3%e7%90%86%e6%a8%a1%e5%9e%8b%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b%e5%b1%82%e7%8a%b6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/learncmg.cn\/?p=16987","title":{"rendered":"\u5e94\u7528\u6848\u4f8b\uff08127\uff09\uff1a\u5229\u7528\u6570\u636e\u9a71\u52a8\u4ee3\u7406\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u6d4b\u5c42\u72b6\u6cb9\u85cf\u6c34\u9a71\u6027\u80fd"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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\ud83d\udcdd \u6458\u8981<\/span><\/h2>\n

\u4ece\u6839\u672c\u4e0a\u8bf4\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u5206\u6790\u6c34\u9a71\u6027\u80fd\u7684\u6240\u6709\u6570\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\u90fd\u9690\u542b\u4e86\u5047\u8bbe\uff0c\u6392\u9664\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u6216\u591a\u4e2a\u529b\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u50a8\u5c42\u975e\u5747\u8d28\u6027\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u521d\u671f\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u654f\u611f\u6027\u8c03\u67e5\uff0c\u4ee5\u68c0\u9a8c\u5f71\u54cd\u5c42\u72b6\u6cb9\u85cf\u6c34\u9a71\u6027\u80fd\u7684\u53c2\u6570\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53c2\u6570\u65e8\u5728\u8861\u91cf\u6c34\u9a71\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u5404\u529b\u7684\u8d21\u732e\uff1a\u7c98\u6ede\u529b\u3001\u91cd\u529b\u548c\u6bdb\u7ba1\u529b\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fd8\u7814\u7a76\u4e86\u7531\u7c98\u5ea6\u548c\u91cd\u529b\u5206\u5f02\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u4ea4\u53c9\u6d41\u73b0\u8c61\u3002\u5bf9\u5f71\u54cd\u6027\u80fd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u53c2\u6570\u8fdb\u884c\u968f\u673a\u91c7\u6837\uff0c\u4ee5\u521b\u5efa\u4e00\u4e2a\u5177\u6709\u7279\u5b9a\u8f93\u5165\u548c\u76ee\u6807\u8f93\u51fa\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\u57df\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\uff0c\u76ee\u6807\u8f93\u51fa\u662f\u6cb9\u85cf\u6a21\u62df\u5668\u8ba1\u7b97\u7684\u6700\u7ec8\u91c7\u6536\u7387\u3002\u8be5\u77e5\u8bc6\u57df\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8f93\u5165\uff08\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u5df2\u89e3\u51b3\u95ee\u9898\uff09\u63d0\u4f9b\u7ed9\u4ee3\u7406\u6a21\u578b\uff08\u4eba\u5de5\u795e\u7ecf\u7f51\u7edc\uff09\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u5728\u8bad\u7ec3\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u8c03\u6574\u795e\u7ecf\u5143\u4e4b\u95f4\u8fde\u63a5\u7684\u5f3a\u5ea6\uff0c\u4ee5\u751f\u6210\u4e00\u4e2a\u80fd\u591f\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u4ee5\u6781\u5c0f\u8bef\u5dee\u9884\u6d4b\u6b64\u7c7b\u6cb9\u85cf\u6c34\u9a71\u6027\u80fd\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u8f93\u516512\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u53c2\u6570\uff08\u6d41\u5ea6\u6bd4\u3001\u6d41\u4f53\u5bc6\u5ea6\u3001\u503e\u89d2\u3001\u6e17\u900f\u7387\u6392\u5e8f\u3001\u975e\u5747\u8d28\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3001\u6ce8\u5165\u901f\u7387\u3001\u50a8\u5c42\u539a\u5ea6\u3001\u5b54\u9699\u5ea6\u3001\u4e09\u7ef4\u6e17\u900f\u7387\u4ee5\u53ca\u50a8\u5c42\u6df1\u5ea6\uff09\u65f6\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u9884\u6d4b\u975e\u5747\u8d28\u6cb9\u85cf\u6c34\u9a71\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7684\u6027\u80fd\u3002\u5f53\u7cfb\u7edf\u53c2\u6570\u5728\u8bad\u7ec3\u6240\u7528\u6570\u636e\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u65f6\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u7edd\u5bf9\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u8bef\u5dee\u7ea6\u4e3a4.6%\uff0c\u8bef\u5dee\u6807\u51c6\u5dee\u7ea6\u4e3a8.7%\uff0c\u6a21\u62df\u7ed3\u679c\u4e0eANN\u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u7cfb\u6570\u7ea6\u4e3a99.1%\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\ud83d\udda5\ufe0f CMG\u8f6f\u4ef6\u5e94\u7528\u60c5\u51b5\u603b\u7ed3<\/span><\/h2>\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u9879\u76ee<\/span><\/th>\n\u5185\u5bb9<\/span><\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
\u6240\u7528\u8f6f\u4ef6<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n\u2022\u00a0<\/span>CMG WINPROP<\/span><\/strong>\uff1a\u7528\u4e8e\u521b\u5efa\u6cb9\u85cf\u6d41\u4f53PVT\u5c5e\u6027\u548c\u7ec4\u5206\u6a21\u578b<\/span>
\u2022\u00a0<\/span>CMG IMEX<\/span><\/strong>\uff1a\u4e09\u7ef4\u9ed1\u6cb9\u6cb9\u85cf\u6a21\u62df\u5668\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u6c34\u9a71\u6570\u503c\u6a21\u62df<\/span>
\u2022\u00a0<\/span>CMOST<\/span><\/strong>\uff1a\u7528\u4e8e\u53c2\u6570\u654f\u611f\u6027\u5206\u6790\u548c\u5b9e\u9a8c\u8bbe\u8ba1\uff08Latin Hypercube\u91c7\u6837\uff09<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u6a21\u578b\u7c7b\u578b<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n\u2022 \u4e09\u7ef4\u9ed1\u6cb9\u6a21\u578b\uff08\u5355\u76f8\u6cb9\u3001\u6c34\u3001\u6c14\uff09<\/span>
\u2022 \u5c42\u72b6\u50a8\u5c42\u6a21\u578b\uff0810\u4e2a\u5782\u5411\u5c42\uff0c\u6bcf\u5c42\u4e0d\u540c\u6e17\u900f\u7387\uff09<\/span>
\u2022 \u4e00\u6ce8\u4e00\u91c7\u4e94\u70b9\u4e95\u7f51\u6a21\u5f0f\uff08\u6ce8\u5165\u4e95\u4f4d\u4e8e(1,1)\uff0c\u751f\u4ea7\u4e95\u4f4d\u4e8e(15,15)\uff09<\/span>
\u2022 \u7b1b\u5361\u5c14\u7f51\u683c\uff1a15\u00d715\u00d710 = 2,250\u4e2a\u7f51\u683c\u5355\u5143<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u6a21\u62df\u5bf9\u8c61<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n\u5c42\u72b6\u975e\u5747\u8d28\u7802\u5ca9\u6cb9\u85cf\u7684\u6c34\u9a71\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u6d41\u5ea6\u6bd4\u3001\u91cd\u529b\u3001\u503e\u89d2\u3001\u4ea4\u53c9\u6d41\u3001\u6e17\u900f\u7387\u6392\u5e8f\u3001\u975e\u5747\u8d28\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7b49\u5bf9\u6c34\u9a71\u6027\u80fd\u7684\u5f71\u54cd<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5e94\u7528\u65b9\u5f0f<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n\u2022\u00a0<\/span>\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b\u5efa\u7acb<\/span><\/strong>\uff1a\u4f7f\u7528IMEX\u5efa\u7acb\u4e09\u7ef4\u5c42\u72b6\u50a8\u5c42\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u6a21\u62df\u6c34\u9a71\u8fc7\u7a0b<\/span>
\u2022\u00a0<\/span>PVT\u5efa\u6a21<\/span><\/strong>\uff1a\u4f7f\u7528WINPROP\u521b\u5efa\u539f\u6cb9\u7ec4\u5206\u548cPVT\u5c5e\u6027\uff08\u88681\u5217\u51fa30+\u4e2a\u7ec4\u5206\uff09<\/span>
\u2022\u00a0<\/span>\u654f\u611f\u6027\u5206\u6790<\/span><\/strong>\uff1a\u4f7f\u7528IMEX\u8fdb\u884c7\u7ec4\u654f\u611f\u6027\u7814\u7a76\uff08\u503e\u89d2\u3001\u6d41\u5ea6\u6bd4\u3001\u5bc6\u5ea6\u5dee\u3001\u6e17\u900f\u7387\u6392\u5e8f\u3001\u6ce8\u5165\u901f\u7387\u3001\u975e\u5747\u8d28\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff09<\/span>
\u2022\u00a0<\/span>\u6570\u636e\u751f\u6210<\/span><\/strong>\uff1a\u4f7f\u7528CMOST\u8f6f\u4ef6\u7ed3\u5408Latin Hypercube\u91c7\u6837\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u968f\u673a\u6539\u53d812\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u751f\u62103,000\u591a\u4e2a\u6c42\u89e3\u6848\u4f8b<\/span>
\u2022\u00a0<\/span>\u53c2\u6570\u4f18\u5316<\/span><\/strong>\uff1a\u5229\u7528CMOST\u8fdb\u884c\u5b9e\u9a8c\u8bbe\u8ba1\uff0c\u751f\u6210\u8bad\u7ec3ANN\u6240\u9700\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\u5e93<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b\u53c2\u6570<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n\u2022 \u50a8\u5c42\u5c3a\u5bf8\uff1a1500\u00d71500\u00d7300 ft\uff08X\u00d7Y\u00d7Z\uff09<\/span>
\u2022 \u7f51\u683c\uff1a15\u00d715\u00d710\uff08X\u00d7Y\u00d7Z\uff09<\/span>
\u2022 \u521d\u59cb\u538b\u529b\uff1a4000 psi\uff08@4450 ft\uff09<\/span>
\u2022 \u5b54\u9699\u5ea6\uff1a0.3\uff08\u6052\u5b9a\uff09<\/span>
\u2022 \u51e0\u4f55\u5e73\u5747\u6e17\u900f\u7387\uff1a475 mD<\/span>
\u2022 Dykstra-Parson\u7cfb\u6570\uff1a0.4\uff08\u57fa\u6848\u4f8b\uff09<\/span>
\u2022 \u6e17\u900f\u7387\u5404\u5411\u5f02\u6027\uff1aKv\/Kh\u53ef\u8c03<\/span>
\u2022 \u50a8\u5c42\u9876\u90e8\u6df1\u5ea6\uff1a4300 ft<\/span>
\u2022 \u751f\u4ea7\u4e95\u6700\u5927\u6db2\u91cf\uff1a3500 bbl\/day<\/span>
\u2022 \u6ce8\u5165\u4e95\u6ce8\u5165\u91cf\uff1a3900 bbl\/day\uff08\u57fa\u6848\u4f8b\uff09<\/span>
\u2022 \u6a21\u62df\u5468\u671f\uff1a15\u5e74<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u654f\u611f\u6027\u7814\u7a76\u53c2\u6570<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n\u2022\u00a0<\/span>\u503e\u89d2<\/span><\/strong>\uff1a0\u00b0\u300130\u00b0\u3001-30\u00b0\u300145\u00b0\u3001-45\u00b0\uff08\u56fe5\uff09<\/span>
\u2022\u00a0<\/span>\u6d41\u5ea6\u6bd4<\/span><\/strong>\uff1a0.5\u30011\u30015<\/span>
\u2022\u00a0<\/span>\u6cb9\u5bc6\u5ea6<\/span><\/strong>\uff1a40\u300155\u300160 lb\/ft\u00b3<\/span>
\u2022\u00a0<\/span>\u6e17\u900f\u7387\u6392\u5e8f<\/span><\/strong>\uff1a\u57fa\u6848\u4f8b\u3001\u9006\u5e8f\u30015\u79cd\u968f\u673a\u5206\u5e03\uff08\u88682\uff09<\/span>
\u2022\u00a0<\/span>\u6ce8\u5165\u901f\u7387<\/span><\/strong>\uff1a1000\u30012000\u30013900\u30016000\u300110000 bbl\/day\uff08\u88683\uff09<\/span>
\u2022\u00a0<\/span>\u975e\u5747\u8d28\u7a0b\u5ea6<\/span><\/strong>\uff1aVDP=0.2\u30010.4\u30010.6\uff08\u56fe6\uff09<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
ANN\u8f93\u5165\u53c2\u6570<\/span><\/strong>\uff0812\u4e2a\uff09<\/span><\/td>\n\u6cb9\u5bc6\u5ea6\u3001\u6c34\u5bc6\u5ea6\u3001\u50a8\u5c42\u6df1\u5ea6\u3001\u503e\u89d2\u3001\u6ce8\u5165\u901f\u7387\u3001\u6d41\u5ea6\u6bd4\u3001\u50a8\u5c42\u539a\u5ea6\u3001\u6e17\u900f\u7387\u6392\u5e8f\u3001\u975e\u5747\u8d28\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3001\u5b54\u9699\u5ea6\u3001KJ\/KI\u3001KV\/KI\uff08\u88684\uff09<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
ANN\u7ed3\u6784\u4e0e\u6027\u80fd<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n\u2022 \u8f93\u5165\u5c42\uff1a12\u4e2a\u795e\u7ecf\u5143<\/span>
\u2022 \u9690\u85cf\u5c42\uff1a3\u5c42\uff0821-10-3\u4e2a\u795e\u7ecf\u5143\uff09<\/span>
\u2022 \u8f93\u51fa\u5c42\uff1a1\u4e2a\u795e\u7ecf\u5143\uff08\u6700\u7ec8\u91c7\u6536\u7387\uff09<\/span>
\u2022 \u6fc0\u6d3b\u51fd\u6570\uff1aLOGSIG<\/span>
\u2022 \u8bad\u7ec3\u7b97\u6cd5\uff1aLevenberg-Marquardt\u53cd\u5411\u4f20\u64ad<\/span>
\u2022 \u8bad\u7ec3\/\u9a8c\u8bc1\u6570\u636e\u5212\u5206\uff1a70%\/30%<\/span>
\u2022 R\u00b2=0.99543\uff0c\u76f8\u5173\u7cfb\u6570=99.1%<\/span>
\u2022 \u5e73\u5747\u7edd\u5bf9\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u8bef\u5dee\uff1a4.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u4e3b\u8981\u7ed3\u8bba<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n\u2022 ANN\u4ee3\u7406\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u6d4b\u6c34\u9a71\u6027\u80fd\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u7edd\u5bf9\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u8bef\u5dee\u4e3a4.6%\uff0c\u8fdc\u4f18\u4e8e\u591a\u9879\u5f0f\u56de\u5f52\uff0823.2%\uff09<\/span>
\u2022 \u91c7\u6536\u7387\u4e0e\u503e\u89d2\u6b63\u76f8\u5173\uff08\u91cd\u529b\u4f5c\u7528\uff09\uff0c\u4e0e\u6d41\u5ea6\u6bd4\u8d1f\u76f8\u5173<\/span>
\u2022 \u6e17\u900f\u7387\u968f\u6df1\u5ea6\u9012\u51cf\uff08fining downward\uff09\u65f6\u6027\u80fd\u6700\u4f73\uff1b\u9012\u589e\uff08fining upward\uff09\u65f6\u6700\u5dee<\/span>
\u2022 \u5b58\u5728\u6700\u4f18\u6ce8\u5165\u901f\u7387\uff08\u672c\u6848\u4f8b\u7ea610,000 bbl\/day\uff09\uff0c\u8fc7\u9ad8\u5219\u56e0\u6c34\u7a9c\u800c\u964d\u4f4e\u91c7\u6536\u7387<\/span>
\u2022 CMG\u8f6f\u4ef6\uff08WINPROP\u3001IMEX\u3001CMOST\uff09\u80fd\u591f\u6709\u6548\u652f\u6301\u6c34\u9a71\u6570\u503c\u6a21\u62df\u548c\u4ee3\u7406\u6a21\u578b\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u751f\u6210<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\u6587\u4e2d\u660e\u786e\u6307\u51fa\uff08Case127.pdf\uff09\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

“In this study, objectives were accomplished using\u00a0<\/span>CMG (WINPROP, IMEX and CMOST)<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0which is a black oil three-dimension reservoir simulator.” \uff08\u7b2c4\u9875\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\n

“PVT properties for oil and the gas which used in the model are created using the\u00a0<\/span>winprop software<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0and the hydrocarbon composition used are presented in Table 1.” \uff08\u7b2c5\u9875\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\n

“Based on the above sensitivity study, the physical properties that affect the cross flow due to viscous and gravity forces were randomly changed by\u00a0<\/span>CMOST software<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0with Latin Hypercube method used as the sampling method to generate more than 3000 solved examples.” \uff08\u7b2c12\u9875\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\ud83e\uddea \u6a21\u62df\u65b9\u6848\u4e0e\u4e3b\u8981\u7ed3\u679c<\/span><\/h2>\n

1. \u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b\u4e0e\u654f\u611f\u6027\u7814\u7a76\uff08\u7b2c4-5\u8282\uff09<\/span><\/h3>\n

\u50a8\u5c42\u6a21\u578b<\/span><\/strong>\uff08\u56fe4\uff09\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

    \n
  • \n

    \u5c3a\u5bf8\uff1a1500\u00d71500\u00d7300 ft<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    \u7f51\u683c\uff1a15\u00d715\u00d710\uff082,250\u4e2a\u5355\u5143\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    10\u4e2a\u5782\u5411\u5c42\uff0c\u6bcf\u5c42\u4e0d\u540c\u6e17\u900f\u7387\uff08\u5bf9\u6570\u6b63\u6001\u5206\u5e03\uff0cVDP=0.4\uff0c\u56fe3\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    \u4e00\u6ce8\u4e00\u91c7\uff08\u6ce8\u5165\u4e95(1,1)\uff0c\u751f\u4ea7\u4e95(15,15)\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    \u654f\u611f\u6027\u7814\u7a76\u6c47\u603b<\/span><\/strong>\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    \u7814\u7a76\u7f16\u53f7<\/span><\/th>\n\u53c2\u6570<\/span><\/th>\n\u53d6\u503c<\/span><\/th>\n\u4e3b\u8981\u53d1\u73b0<\/span><\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    1-3<\/span><\/td>\n\u503e\u89d2 + \u6d41\u5ea6\u6bd4<\/span><\/td>\n0\u00b0\/\u00b130\u00b0\/\u00b145\u00b0\uff1bM=0.5\/1\/5<\/span><\/td>\n\u91c7\u6536\u7387\u4e0e\u503e\u89d2\u6b63\u76f8\u5173\uff08\u56fe7-10\uff09\uff1b\u91cd\u529b\u524d\u7f18\u91cd\u5851\u5ef6\u8fdf\u6c34\u7a81\u7834<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    4<\/span><\/td>\n\u6cb9\u5bc6\u5ea6<\/span><\/td>\n40\u300155\u300160 lb\/ft\u00b3<\/span><\/td>\n\u5bc6\u5ea6\u5dee\u8d8a\u5927\uff0c\u91c7\u6536\u7387\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff08\u56fe11-12\uff09<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    5<\/span><\/td>\n\u6e17\u900f\u7387\u6392\u5e8f<\/span><\/td>\n\u57fa\u6848\u4f8b\u3001\u9006\u5e8f\u30015\u79cd\u968f\u673a\uff08\u88682\uff09<\/span><\/td>\n\u5411\u4e0b\u53d8\u7ec6\uff08fining downward\uff09\u6700\u4f18\uff1b\u5411\u4e0a\u53d8\u7ec6\u6700\u5dee\uff08\u56fe13-14\uff09<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    6<\/span><\/td>\n\u6ce8\u5165\u901f\u7387<\/span><\/td>\n1000-10000 bbl\/day\uff08\u88683\uff09<\/span><\/td>\n\u5b58\u5728\u6700\u4f18\u503c~10,000 bbl\/day\uff1b\u8fc7\u9ad8\u5219\u6c34\u7a9c\uff08\u56fe16\uff09<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    7<\/span><\/td>\n\u975e\u5747\u8d28\u7a0b\u5ea6<\/span><\/td>\nVDP=0.2\u30010.4\u30010.6<\/span><\/td>\nVDP\u8d8a\u5927\uff08\u8d8a\u975e\u5747\u8d28\uff09\uff0c\u91c7\u6536\u7387\u8d8a\u4f4e\uff08\u56fe15\uff09<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

    2. \u5173\u952e\u654f\u611f\u6027\u5206\u6790\u7ed3\u679c<\/span><\/h3>\n

    \u503e\u89d2\u5f71\u54cd<\/span><\/strong>\uff08\u56fe7\uff0cM=5\uff09\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

      \n
    • \n

      45\u00b0\u503e\u89d2 > 30\u00b0 > 0\u00b0 > -30\u00b0 > -45\u00b0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

    • \n

      \u4e0a\u503e\u6ce8\u5165\u65f6\u91cd\u529b\u964d\u4f4e\u6c34\u5c42\u6d41\u901f\uff0c\u5ef6\u7f13\u6c34\u7a81\u7834<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      \u6d41\u5ea6\u6bd4\u5f71\u54cd<\/span><\/strong>\uff08\u56fe8-10\uff09\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

        \n
      • \n

        M=0.5\uff08\u6709\u5229\uff09> M=1 > M=5\uff08\u4e0d\u5229\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

      • \n

        \u9ad8M\u65f6\u91cd\u529b\u4f5c\u7528\u66f4\u663e\u8457\uff08\u56fe9\uff1a45\u00b0\u503e\u89d2\u65f6\uff0cM=5 vs M=0.5\u5dee\u5f02\u66f4\u5927\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

        \u6e17\u900f\u7387\u6392\u5e8f\u5f71\u54cd<\/span><\/strong>\uff08\u56fe13-14\uff09\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

          \n
        • \n

          \u5411\u4e0b\u53d8\u7ec6\uff08fining downward\uff09\uff1a\u91cd\u529b\u5f3a\u5316\u6027\u80fd\uff0c\u91c7\u6536\u7387\u6700\u9ad8<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

        • \n

          \u5411\u4e0a\u53d8\u7ec6\uff08fining upward\uff09\uff1a\u6027\u80fd\u6700\u5dee<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

        • \n

          \u968f\u673a\u5206\u5e03\uff1a\u4ecb\u4e8e\u4e24\u8005\u4e4b\u95f4<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

          \u6ce8\u5165\u901f\u7387\u5f71\u54cd<\/span><\/strong>\uff08\u56fe16\uff09\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

            \n
          • \n

            \u6700\u4f73\u6ce8\u5165\u901f\u7387\uff1a\u7ea610,000 bbl\/day<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

          • \n
            \n

            12,000 bbl\/day\uff1a\u6c34\u7a9c\uff0c\u91c7\u6536\u7387\u4e0b\u964d<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/li>\n

          • \n

            \u4e34\u754c\u6ce8\u5165\u901f\u7387\uff1a\u7ea63,200 bbl\/day<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

            3. ANN\u4ee3\u7406\u6a21\u578b\uff08\u7b2c5-6\u8282\uff0c\u56fe17-22\uff09<\/span><\/h3>\n

            ANN\u7ed3\u6784<\/span><\/strong>\uff08\u56fe17\uff09\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

              \n
            • \n

              \u8f93\u5165\u5c42\uff1a12\u4e2a\u795e\u7ecf\u5143\uff0812\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u53c2\u6570\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

            • \n

              \u9690\u85cf\u5c42\uff1a3\u5c42\uff0821 \u2192 10 \u2192 3\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

            • \n

              \u8f93\u51fa\u5c42\uff1a1\u4e2a\u795e\u7ecf\u5143\uff08\u6700\u7ec8\u91c7\u6536\u7387\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

              \u8bad\u7ec3\u7ed3\u679c<\/span><\/strong>\uff08\u56fe20\uff09\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

                \n
              • \n

                R\u00b2 = 0.99543\uff0c\u76f8\u5173\u7cfb\u6570 = 99.1%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

              • \n

                \u5e73\u5747\u7edd\u5bf9\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u8bef\u5dee = 4.6%\uff08\u56fe18\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

              • \n

                \u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\uff1a>3,000\u4e2a\uff08CMOST Latin Hypercube\u91c7\u6837\u751f\u6210\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                ANN vs \u591a\u9879\u5f0f\u56de\u5f52\u5bf9\u6bd4<\/span><\/strong>\uff08\u88685\uff0c\u56fe19-22\uff09\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

                \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
                \u6307\u6807<\/span><\/th>\nANN<\/span><\/th>\n\u591a\u9879\u5f0f\u56de\u5f52<\/span><\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
                \u5e73\u5747\u7edd\u5bf9\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u8bef\u5dee<\/span><\/td>\n4.6%<\/span><\/td>\n23.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                R\u00b2<\/span><\/td>\n0.9954<\/span><\/td>\n0.8664<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                \u9884\u6d4b\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027<\/span><\/td>\n\u9ad8\uff08\u56fe21\uff09<\/span><\/td>\n\u6ce2\u52a8\u5927\uff08\u56fe22\uff09<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

                \u2705 \u4e3b\u8981\u7ed3\u8bba<\/span><\/h2>\n
                  \n
                1. \n

                  ANN\u4ee3\u7406\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027<\/span><\/strong>\uff1a\u5229\u7528CMG IMEX\u751f\u6210\u76843,000\u591a\u4e2a\u6a21\u62df\u6848\u4f8b\u8bad\u7ec3\u7684ANN\u4ee3\u7406\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u4ee5\u5e73\u57474.6%\u7684\u7edd\u5bf9\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u8bef\u5dee\u9884\u6d4b\u5c42\u72b6\u6cb9\u85cf\u6c34\u9a71\u6700\u7ec8\u91c7\u6536\u7387\uff0c\u7cbe\u5ea6\u8fdc\u4f18\u4e8e\u4f20\u7edf\u591a\u9879\u5f0f\u56de\u5f52\uff0823.2%\u8bef\u5dee\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

                2. \n

                  \u591a\u8f6f\u4ef6\u534f\u540c\u5de5\u4f5c\u6d41<\/span><\/strong>\uff1a\u6210\u529f\u5efa\u7acb\u4e86WINPROP\uff08PVT\u5efa\u6a21\uff09\u2192 IMEX\uff08\u6570\u503c\u6a21\u62df\uff09\u2192 CMOST\uff08\u5b9e\u9a8c\u8bbe\u8ba1\/\u6570\u636e\u751f\u6210\uff09\u2192 ANN\uff08\u4ee3\u7406\u6a21\u578b\u8bad\u7ec3\uff09\u7684\u5b8c\u6574\u5de5\u4f5c\u6d41\uff0c\u4e3a\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7814\u7a76\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba\u53c2\u8003\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

                3. \n

                  \u6c34\u9a71\u6027\u80fd\u7684\u5173\u952e\u63a7\u5236\u53c2\u6570<\/span><\/strong>\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n